Whatever happens at the polls this year, the sky is not going to fall in on your heads. A lot of the remain voters shared that fear when - against all odds - the British people overwhelmingly voted to leave the European Union last June. The grief hit hard for the massive majority of politicians, elites and media, all of whom remained utterly smug right up to voting day. After all, we’d received increasingly ridiculous threats and warnings ranging from economic collapse to
World War 3. The councils
reminded the little people which box to tick while big businesses and merchant bankers benevolently funded the Remain campaign. The message was so simple that all of us plebeians should have understood it: Remain is good, Leave is racist, isolationist and bad.
When the huddled masses rebelled at the voting booths, smugness immediately transformed to angry, scapegoating vitriol:
Brexiters didn’t really understand what they were voting for,
old people voted to punish young people and, of course, it was a victory for “hate”, with
completely fabricated statistics to back it up. Furious remainers marched throughout London to denounce hate (and democracy), shouting insults all the way without a hint of irony.
Now across the pond in the run up to voting day, the Americans are looking strikingly similar in their end game. Overrated and minor celebrities have made the ultimate threat and
suggested they’ll deprive America of their residence should the public vote for Trump. The left wing media are on full throttle and “groups” are denouncing hate by
physically breaking up rallies. Minor media figures are lining up to denounce the bad guy. Whoever’s speaking out against Donald, his alleged crimes are always the same: he’s guilty of being rich, sexist and - the greatest sin of all - “racist”.
But it’s not just the demagogy that rings familiar to Brexit. The sense of unease in everyone’s suggest that confidence is lacking It’s not inconceivable that while Hilary Clinton probably
will be the next POTUS, the victory margin won’t be as large as many expect.
Now, let’s imagine an even more fanciful scenario where Donald Trump wins. What would the rationale behind it be and how could the polls and media be so wrong, just as they were with Brexit? The answer is actually quite simple: while all politicos are guilty of hyperbole, dishonesty and arrogance, the way at which we arrive at our opinions and policies in the first place can be very different.
Put with crude briefness and with many notable exceptions, my school of thought is like this: modern liberals and left-wingers begin with a clear cut vision of good and bad. They then place all policies in these baskets without ever taking account of human nature, experience or pragmatism. I call this the ‘Tolkien’ method - everything is clear cut and simple. This is often accompanied by a strong current of intellectual snobbery and pretentiousness.
Conservatives, classic liberals and libertarians are more weary. They incorporate human nature, tradition, cynicism and experience along with a sense of right and wrong. They accept that nobody is all good or all bad, and we have to find the best balance of reality and ideology to benefit the masses. If left-wingers are a Tolkien movie, conservatives are more “Game of Thrones”.
This is important because it explains how and why both sides deal with the flaws and scandals around the people they support and how conflicting views and information are processed. Liberals have already decided what is “good”, ergo, anything that goes against that view is naturally “bad”, how could it possibly be anything else? If it’s “bad”, it must be stopped, censored or punished, period. This type of thought is currently dominant in most schools, universities and mainstream media in the west.
By contrast, conservatives tend to be slightly more flexible. They realise politicians will have major flaws, They understand the world has more shades of grey than black or white. If there’s a mistake, they (people, not politicians) are more likely to acknowledge it. (I should mention other factors such as the belief confirmation theory mean we are all flawed, too.)
The former ideology is over-represented in our media. From the BBC - which is duty bound to be impartial but
proven biased - and The Guardian to CNN and the NY Post, our media elites - who earn enough to live in protective bubbles of society, free of the consequences of their ideology - tout the policies of Clinton and Labor to the point of shaming those who speak out against them. Even when dissenting views are expressed, they are treated far more harshly, as impartial tests prove. Again, this is done with so much complicity and arrogance that it doesn’t seem to occur to pollsters and pundits that it might explain why
all those voter surveys are inaccurate. Is it truly surprising that a voter who’s told frequently that voting to leave the EU makes her a bigoted isolationist wants to keep her voting intentions private?
With this in mind, we can seek clarity in the dirty battle between the two US presidential candidates. Hilary voters - including Michelle Obama -
claimed to be “physically sickened” by Trump’s vulgar “pussy” remark. They scream this in the media, yet compartmentalise and ignore Hilary
laughing about getting a rapist of a twelve year old girl through a lie detector test.
(Incidentally, Michelle Obama
invited rapper Jay-Z to the White House and attended a concert where he sang a song called....”
Pussy”. Salon
presented this observation in a headline proclaiming "Neo-Nazis" )
Understanding this mindset explains so much more. It explains the motivation between
mocking Trump for his repeated comments about ISIS - who are slaughtering innocent people as you read this - while
demonising Russia for the endless (and true) Wikileaks revelations without a shred of evidence Putin was behind them. (Wikileaks have never been proven false). It explains why it’s ‘racist” to screen Muslim immigrants but not to hate Russia. It explains why it’s misogynistic to say “pussy” but it’s
admirable to vote in Hilary because she’d be the first female president. It explains why it’s “hateful” and “divisive” to build a wall but just and noble to drop fire on women and children in Syria. (Hilary
voted in favour of attacks on Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria)
If all these political smears make us dizzy (just be grateful I didn’t mention any of the endless “Nazi” slurs) let’s return to things we know for sure. It’s beyond reasonable doubt that Hilary Clinton
destroyed evidence under subpoena by the FBI via a close aide, repeatedly
lied about various issues from being under sniper fire in Libya to supporting gay marriage and showed
gross negligence for classified information and national security. Her husband raped many women, whom Hilary dismissed as "bimbos". And all this is over and above the more mundane but equally murky and dishonest
insider trading scandals. These are all matters of record, they could be concluded beyond reasonable doubt by a person with no political views.
Compare this to the rhetoric against Trump, which mostly amounts to slurs such as “racist” , “hate”, “misogynist” etc. This is the type of vitriol heard most frequently when debating or discussing the personalities involved. This is not to say none of it is true or reasonable, but it’s not impartial, it can’t be tried in court or proven a danger to national security.
None of this is coincidence. It’s the logical outcome of a thought process that starts by asserting what is, without question, right and, ergo, what goes against it must be bad. The true danger is when we become so entrenched in this way of thinking that we throw out any evidence suggesting we could just possibly be wrong by dismissing it in Pavolian fashion with any of a range of insults “fascist” , etc) that permits us to sidestep consideration or logic.
It’s nothing new, but in an age of increasingly polarised politics, massive but untrustworthy media sources and higher stakes, it’s a bigger problem than it’s ever been.
Shortly after the shockwaves of Brexit calmed, the British economy started to pick up. In fact, employment levels and markets
have seen record highs. This good news has been impossible to process for Remainers still trying to validate apocalyptic consequences they promised everyone beforehand. I can’t help but wonder if, somehow, Donald Trump defies the odds and becomes the next most powerful person in the world, how would the celebrities, Hollywood residents and newscasters explain an American revival to us in six months’ time?